Predictions UFC82

Anderson Silva vs. Dan Henderson
Grymt intressant match denna, vågar påstå att detta är Anderson Silva:s tuffaste match hitills och att ingen i 185lbs divisionen kan ge honom samma utmaning som Henderson kan. Detta är utan tvekan matchen mellan nr1 och nr2 och jag vågar påstå att det är ett stort gap ner till nr3.

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Stående på avstånd måste man ge det till A.Silva, även om Henderson knockat Wanderlei stående finns det ingen med A.Silva:s struktur stående. Hans teknik är så nära perfekt man kommer. På marken beror det naturligtvis på vem som är på topp när det kommer till vem som har fördelen, och där tror jag inte Silva kommer kunna ta ner Dan utan är det nån som hamnar på topp är det Henderson, på marken ger jag det till honom.

Den stora frågan är just vidare denna fight kommer utspela sig till störst del på marken eller stående. Där är clinch-gamet avgörande, och det är world class clinch game vi kommer få se i denna fight! Silva är ju känd för sina dödliga knän därifrån men Henderson med sin grek-romerska brottningsgrund är inte att underskatta. Frågan är just vem som pressar upp vem mot stängslet. Om Anderson kan skapa distans och kontroll i clinchen för att få in sina thai knän eller om Henderson via rätt headposition kan få kontrollen och ta ner Silva. Ska bli grymt intressant att se. En sak som är säker är att detta kommer bli en riktigt jämn fight som förmodligen kommer gå till decision.

Jag ger denna till Henderson då han har vart uppe mot tuffare motstånd än A.Silva, för att stängslet förmodligen kommer hjälpa hans grek romerska clinch-game och för att han i grunden är en sån krigare.

Henderson via Decision.

Heath Herring vs. Cheick Kongo
Även detta är en väldigt intressant fight, mest för att se om Kongo har tränat på sin take-down defence eller inte. Det första som slog mig efter att Kongo slog Mirko var att Kongo nu måste vara ett hett byte för alla top-contenders i Hw divisionen då han nu förmodligen var den mest överskattade fightern där, en kille med lite brottning och bra ground game skulle äta upp honom. Nu är frågan, kan Heath ta ner honom på marken? Heaths brottning har aldrig varit nånting som jag imponerats av och Kongo måste ju nu när han slagit ett såpass stort namn inse att han måste börja seriöst på sin mark. Väldigt svår match att förutse då det just handlar om hur pass smart de har tränar innför matchen. Jag tror Heath inser att detta är hans chans att bli ett namn och ta ett stort kliv i rankingen så jag går på mina första instinkter och satsar på Heath.

Heath via decision.

Chris Leben vs. Alessio Sakara
Att förlita sig på en stark haka och brawla funkar mot halvdanna fighters men inte mot killar med struktur, vilket A.Silva visade i fighten med Leben. Leben imponerar på mig varje gång jag ser honom då han visar hur långt man kan gå med fighterhjärta, råstyrka, hård nacke och kass teknik. Tror vi kommer få se en riktig brawl i denna match och frågan är om Sakara har tekniken att övervinna Lebens stil. Jag tror och hoppas det.

Sakara via Tko

Yushin Okami vs. Evan Tanner
Okami är förmodligen den som är up-next för en title shot och där tror jag faktiskt inte Tanner är av kaliber att stoppa honom. Tanner var en top-fighter i UFC tidigare men i och med all ny talang som har tillkommit tror jag det blir svårt för honom att bli en contender igen. Men vet vet, vinner han denna placerar han sig högt upp på stegen.

Okami via Decision

Jon Fitch vs. Chris Wilson
Fitch är en otrolig fighter som “slog igenom” ovanligt sent, killen är obesegrad i UFC och är väldigt nära en title-shot. Jag vart förvånad när jag hörde att han skulle möta en debutant. Har faktiskt lite svårt att se vitsen med den fighten, Fitch vs Koscheck vore en mycket intressantare match.

Fitch via Tko 1rnd.

David Bielkheden vs. Diego Sanchez
Döm inte Bielkheden efter hans record, killen är ett monster, dock ett, när det kommer till topp-motstånd, oerfaret monster. Diego kommer göra allt för att ta ner honom och lyckas han kommer David ha problem, jag tror och hoppas dock att David har tränat mycket på sin brottning för att förhindra det.

Måste gå på David i denna match.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1NCKKmbdbZg

Dustin Hazelett vs. Josh Koscheck
Förstår inte riktigt syftet med denna match heller då Hazelett inte är något större namn, Koscheck vs Fitch och Dustin vs Wilson hade vart mer logiska match-ups.

Måste här gå på favoriten, Koscheck.

Jake O’Brien vs. Andrei Arlovski
Sista matchen för AA i Ufc? Inte omöjligt, A.A är annars en top-contender i UFC:s relativt magra Hw division och en förlust av honom kommer svida. Antagligen därför de inte gett honom nått större namn då de inte vill riskera att han tar med sig nån annans pride från UFC. Skulle han få möta säg Kongo och vinna för att sedan lämna organisationen skulle UFC tappa en potentiell contender med honom.

Andrei Arlovski via Ko

Luke Cummo vs. Luigi Fioravanti
Länge sen jag såg dessa fighters, har aldrig riktigt imponerats av Luigi men ser potential i Cummo, detta är en bra match för honom. Lagom svår och hjälper honom att utvecklas.

Cummo via Ko

John Halverson vs. Jorge Gurgel
Gurgel har ett otroligt fighterhjärta men han slåss väldigt osmart vilket vi såg i hans förra match där han tog oandligt med stryk samtidigt som han försökte dra på hopplösa armbars från sin guard. Jag hoppas för hans egen skull att han kommit på en smartare game-plan i denna match men jag vet faktiskt inte. Inte sett Halverson fightas så gör ingen prediction i denna.

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